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Saturday, June 16, 2012

Arangkada of Leo Lastimosa for June 16, 2012

Banga o tapolan?

Ang pagsud sa bagyong Butchoy sa teritoryo sa Pilipinas nakapalili na sab nato sa makausa pa sa kakuwang sa forecast sa Pagasa kon itandi sa ubang weather agencies.  Ang langyaw nga mga ahensiya mas daghan og detalye mahitungod sa kalihokan ni Butchoy dinhi sa ato.  Nga lisod ipasabot kay ang Pagasa man unta ang labing suhito sa atong nataran.

Gani, ang kasayuran nga nahipos sa kahimanan sa Pagasa maoy gigamit sa langyawng mga ahensiya sa ilang forecast.  Nagpasabot ba nga tihik lang og kasayuran ang Pagasa?  O tapolan lang mopasabot ang forecasters sa ulohang buhatan, kansang sinuwat nga advisories gisumay-sumay ra og basa sa local forecasters?


Basaha ra gud ning ilang bulletin sa nahimutangan ni Butchoy gahapon sa udto:  "510 ka kilometro sa silangan habagatan silangan sa Guian, Eastern Samar (10.3*N, 131.0*E) uban ang kinakusgang hangin nga 110 ka kilometro matag takna duol sa tungatunga ug pag-unos nga moabot og 140 ka kilometro matag takna."

Basaha sab ning ilang forecast sa direksiyon ni Butchoy:  "Ang bagyo gipaabot nga moirog sa kasadpan amihanang kasadpan sa gikusgong 15 ka kilometro matag takna.  Ang habagat makaapektar sa Luzon."


Palihug itandi ning mas detalyadong forecast sa Typhoon 2000, usa ka lokal ug pribadong ahensiya: "Si Butchoy nahimo nang bagyo ug mobubo og uwan sa amihanan silang Mindanao, labi na sa Siargao.  Baluron ang kadagatan sa West Philippine ug Visayan seas."

Mas mauwaw ang Pagasa sa kaabunda sa mas matultolan nga detalye sa nahimutangan ni Butchoy:  626 ka kilometro silangan amihanang silangan sa Surigao City; 649 ka kilometro silangan habagatang silangan sa Borongan City; 686 ka kilometro sa silangan habatang silangan sa Tacloban City; 760 ka kilometro sa silangan habagatang silangan sa Catarman, Northern Samar; 835 ka kilometro sa habagatan silangan sa Virac, Catanduanes; 839 ka kilometro sa habagatan silangan sa Sorsogon City; 874 ka kilometro sa habagatan silangan sa Legazpi City; 894 ka kilometro sa habagatan silangan sa Caramoan, CamSur; 916 ka kilometro sa habagatan silangan sa Iriga City; ug 945 ka kilometro sa habagatan silangan sa Metro Naga.


Mas lab-as sab ang banabana sa Typhoon 2000 sa gikusgon ni Butchoy:  "160 ka kilometro matag takna duol sa tungatunga uban ang pag-unos nga moabot og 195 ka kilometro matag takna; nag-irog sa gikusgon nga 11 ka kilometro matag takna paingon sa Philippine Sea.  Ang kinatas-an nga bawod moabot og 27 ka tiil."

Ambot unsay hinungdan sa 50 ngadto sa 55 ka kilometro nga kalainan sa banabana sa gikusgon sa hangin ug sa unos ni Butchoy.  Konserbatibo ba lang ang kadagkoan sa Pagasa?  Tapolan lang nga mopasabot?  O di lang gyod kamao mobasa sa ilang kaugalingong kahimanan?  [30]  leo_lastimosa@abs-cbn.com


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